Global Bond Market in Reprice Mode
Global Bond Market in Reprice Mode
Around here, "reprice" typically refers to mid-day rate changes from mortgage lenders, but infrequently, a big picture repricing occurs in the bond market. That's what's going on in March and especially over the last 2.5 days. Wednesday's Fed comments and Thursday's ECB/BOE comments confirmed that there's a floor under short term rates for a vast majority of the planet's reserve currency holdings, AND that hikes are quickly replacing cuts as the next likely move (September Fed meeting went from 0% hike chance to more than 25% in less than 2 days). Trading and investment strategies of a majority of the world's investible capital was positioned for an entirely different reality before the Iran war. Now it is repositioning... repricing for new realities.
Snowball Selling
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday, Mar 20 | |||||
| Monday, Mar 23 | |||||
| 10:00AM | Jan Construction spending (%) | Jan | 0.1% | 0.3% | |