Owner/Broker
Great American Lending LLC
License:
MLO-4493
Company-201546

Bonds Continued Drifting Weaker Throughout The Day

Bonds Continued Drifting Weaker Throughout The Day

Nothing new or interesting happened during the course of the trading day. The key market movers were in place at the start of domestic trading. From an analytical standpoint, the morning commentary adequately recaps the day's bond market motivations. Yields continued drifting higher throughout the session as investors pulled out of both sides of the market in protest of the apparent extension of the Iran war timeframe. 10s ultimately tapped 4.6% and MBS flirted with a 3/4th point day-over-day drop. In the bigger picture, mortgage rates are doing much better than Treasuries compared to last year's levels thanks to GSE bond buying.

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Bonds Continued Drifting Weaker Throughout The Day

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0
97.44
-0.69 
10YR TREASURY
4.592
+0.107 
5/15/2026 5:00PM EST
MBS are now down just over 5/8ths of a point on the day. 5 ticks (.16) of that has been seen since 9:30am, which is an early part of the window for lender rate sheet print times. Most every lender has baked in plenty of weakness to this morning's rate sheets, so the bar for negative reprices is probably a bit higher than normal (i.e. negative reprices aren't necessarily highly likely at the moment, but we're heading in that direction).   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.65%
+0.13% 
15YR Fixed
6.10%
+0.06% 
5/15/2026
Mortgage rates are driven by bonds and the bond market hoped to see more evidence of shift toward peace during the 2-day Trump/Xi meeting in China. As soon as Trump got back on the plane to head home, bonds began tanking (i.e. jumping to higher yields). When bond yields spike, mortgage rates follow, and today is no exception. The average top-tier 30yr fixed rate is up to 6.62% this morning, right in line with levels seen on March 26th and 27th and the highest since August ...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, May 15
12:00AM Roll Date - UMBS 15YR, Ginnie Mae 15YR
8:30AM May NY Fed Manufacturing May 19.60 7.5 11.00
9:15AM Apr Industrial Production (%) Apr 0.7% 0.3% -0.5%
12:00PM NOPA Crush Report (%)
Monday, May 18
8:30AM Fed Venable Speech
10:00AM May NAHB housing market indx May 34 34
Owner/Broker
Great American Lending LLC
License:
MLO-4493
Company-201546