Owner/Broker
Great American Lending LLC
License:
MLO-4493
Company-201546

Yields End Higher Despite Some Mid-Day Solace

Yields End Higher Despite Some Mid-Day Solace

As has been almost constantly the case for the past few months, today's ebbs and flows in the bond market were tightly tied to the Iran war news cycle. Yields spiked after AM headlines suggested Iran was not interested in negotiating as long as fighting continues between Israel and Lebanon. Bonds bounced back in a friendlier direction after mid-day news that Trump would talk to Netanyahu about de-escalating. Nothing conclusive came from that conversation by the 3pm ET close and 10yr yields remained roughly 3bps higher on the day. Tuesday's slate of potential volatility receives an additional (though mild) layer of complication from the job openings data at 10am ET.

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Yields End Higher Despite Some Mid-Day Solace

MBS & Treasury Markets
UMBS 5.0
98.28
-0.17 
10YR TREASURY
4.467
+0.028 
5/31/2026 8:50PM EST
Full coverage of reasons is in the AM commentary . MBS are now down 3/8ths of a point on the day and 10 ticks (.31) from intraday highs. 10s are up 6bps at 4.497.   READ MORE
Today's Mortgage Rates
30YR Fixed
6.60%
+0.04% 
15YR Fixed
6.10%
+0.01% 
6/1/2026
Following last week's relatively strong move to the lowest levels since May 14th, mortgage rates bounced slightly higher to start the news week. The move followed a clear shift in the Iran war news cycle with morning headlines citing Iranian officials saying the peace negotiation were effectively tabled as long as hostilities remained between Israel and Lebanon. As a refresher, the Iran war is bad for rates primarily due to the actual and implied impact on inflation due t...   READ MORE
Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Jun 01
9:45AM May S&P Global Manuf. PMI May 55.1 55.3 54.5
10:00AM May ISM Mfg Prices Paid May 82.1 85.5 84.6
10:00AM May ISM Manufacturing PMI May 54.0 53 52.7
10:00AM May ISM Manufacturing Employment May 48.6 46.4
10:00AM Apr Construction spending (%) Apr 0.4% 0.2% 0.6%
Tuesday, Jun 02
1:50AM Fed Kashkari Speech
8:30AM Fed Hammack Speech
10:00AM Apr JOLTs Job Quits (ml) Apr 3.171M
10:00AM Apr USA JOLTS Job Openings (ml) Apr 6.82M 6.866M
10:10AM Jun IBD economic optimism Jun 42.6
11:30AM 6-Week Bill Auction (%) 3.620%
Owner/Broker
Great American Lending LLC
License:
MLO-4493
Company-201546