Founder/CEO
Boss Mortgage, LLC
License:
NMLS #1455628 OR, WA, ID, CO, MT, CA, AZ
Company NMLS 2547821
MBS & US Treasury Markets
12/12 5:59:00PM EST : Delayed Data
A message from Randy Vance:

©2025. Equal Housing Lender. Contact your Boss Mortgage, LLC loan originator for information on specific loan terms and conditions. Boss Mortgage, LLC is not affiliated with any government agencies. This is not an offer to enter into an agreement. Not all customers will qualify. Information, rates, and programs are subject to change. All rights reserved. This is not a commitment to lend or extend credit. All products are subject to credit and property approval. Rates, terms, programs, and underwriting policies and guidelines are subject to change without notice. Boss Mortgage, LLC is licensed under the Oregon Consumer Finance Act. Licensed by the California Dept of Financial Protection and Innovation under the California Financing Law. Idaho MBL: 2082547821 Washington under license number CL-254782. Boss Mortgage, LLC NMLS-2547821. 304 NE 3rd St. #110 Bend, OR 97701 www.bossmortgage.com 541-799-2677 Licensed in OR, ID, WA, MT, CO, CA. www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org  


There's a noticeable divergence between long and short term bonds since the Fed announcement, and it's becoming more pronounced today.  We can consider a few different reasons with the most basic being that the Fed rate cut outlook keeps shorter-term yields locked down at lower levels thus forcing the long end of the curve to absorb more of the selling impulse on selling days. As far as 2yr yields are concerned, it's not even really a selling day (they're currently DOWN microscopically). Meanwhile, 10yr yields are almost 4bps higher.

20251212 open.png

We can also consider an underlying concern among traders that was encapsulated in a comment this morning from Fed's Goolsbee, who said there was little to suggest the labor market was decaying fast enough to warrant this week's rate cut, especially in the absence of more timely econ data. The tacit conclusion is that if next Tuesday's jobs report is strong, markets will increasingly feel like the Fed just made a mistake.  Last but not least, the least stressful thesis is that 2025 ended on Fed day and everything we see between now and the 2nd week of January is noise.  Choose your own adventure. 

09:19 AM

Moderately weaker overnight with more selling in early trading. MBS down 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr up 4bps at 4.196

01:11 PM

Sideways at weaker levels.  MBS down 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr up 3.2bps at 4.189

04:15 PM

Heading out at similar levels. MBS down an eighth and 10yr up 2.9bps at 4.186

A message from Randy Vance:

©2025. Equal Housing Lender. Contact your Boss Mortgage, LLC loan originator for information on specific loan terms and conditions. Boss Mortgage, LLC is not affiliated with any government agencies. This is not an offer to enter into an agreement. Not all customers will qualify. Information, rates, and programs are subject to change. All rights reserved. This is not a commitment to lend or extend credit. All products are subject to credit and property approval. Rates, terms, programs, and underwriting policies and guidelines are subject to change without notice. Boss Mortgage, LLC is licensed under the Oregon Consumer Finance Act. Licensed by the California Dept of Financial Protection and Innovation under the California Financing Law. Idaho MBL: 2082547821 Washington under license number CL-254782. Boss Mortgage, LLC NMLS-2547821. 304 NE 3rd St. #110 Bend, OR 97701 www.bossmortgage.com 541-799-2677 Licensed in OR, ID, WA, MT, CO, CA. www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org  


Founder/CEO
Boss Mortgage, LLC
License:
NMLS #1455628 OR, WA, ID, CO, MT, CA, AZ
Company NMLS 2547821